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Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
May 16, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 3
Hertha Berlin


Baumgartner (48'), Geiger (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akpoguma (58' og.), Ibisevic (60'), Cunha (74')
Pekarik (11'), Boyata (29'), Grujic (40')

Preview: Hoffenheim vs. Hertha Berlin - prediction, form guide, head-to-head record

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, form guide and possible lineups.

Hoffenheim and Hertha Berlin will be aiming to end their winless runs when they face off on the opening weekend of the Bundesliga's return.

Both teams hit a bad run of form prior to the division's coronavirus-enforced shutdown in March and must quickly put that right if they are to achieve their aims for the season.


Match preview

Hoffenheim's Andrej Kramaric celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on December 20, 2019© Reuters

Hoffenheim have been in European contention all season long, but two points from the last 15 on offer is not exactly the way to go about earning a place in the top seven.

Alfred Schreuder's side occupied a Europa League qualifying spot following their 2-1 win over Bayer Leverkusen on February 1, but they have not won any games since then and are now in ninth.

That disappointing winless run includes a heavy 6-0 loss to Bayern Munich in their most recent home match, finding themselves five goals down after just 47 minutes.

Hoffenheim did however regain some credibility with a 1-1 draw at Schalke 04 last time out thanks to Christoph Baumgartner's second-half goal.

Given the tight nature of the Bundesliga, with five points separating Schalke in sixth and FC Koln in 10th, Die Kraichgauer still have plenty to play for in the remainder of the season.

Hertha Berlin's Ondrej Duda pictured in October 2019© Reuters

That is also true for opponents Hertha, who are only three places and six points off the relegation playoff spot after winning just one of their last six matches.

The Old Lady have played out back-to-back draws in the league - 3-3 with Fortuna Dusseldorf and 2-2 against Werder Bremen - and are still not safe from the drop.

Throw a heavy 5-0 loss to Koln on February 22 into the mix and Hertha have conceded an alarming 10 goals in their last three matches.

Following the short-lived tenure of Jurgen Klinsmann, it is now down to Bruno Labbadia to get them over the line and secure another season of top-flight football for the capital club.

However, with RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund to play in two of their next four matches after this weekend, as well as a derby showdown with Union Berlin, defeat on Saturday could leave them in real trouble.

There are some positives for Labbadia to take, though, such as the fighting spirit showed to salvage a point against Bremen last time out from two goals down.

A few more wins are ultimately required, and getting back on the victory trail this weekend at a ground where Hoffenheim have struggled at times of late would be a good way for Hertha to begin their new regime.

Hoffenheim's Bundesliga form: LLLDLD

Hertha Berlin's Bundesliga form: DLWLDD
Hertha Berlin's form (all competitions): LLWLDD


Team News

Hoffenheim midfielder Dennis Geiger pictured in action in January 2019© Reuters

Andrej Kramaric has seven goals in 14 Bundesliga appearances this season, but the Croatian striker is expected to sit this one out with an ankle injury.

Hoffenheim are also sweating over the fitness of Sargis Adamyan, but Munas Dabbur is back in contention after overcoming a knee issue.

Jacob Bruun Larsen has started a couple of games since arriving from Dortmund in January and could force his way into the side here.

As for Hertha, Salomon Kalou has been suspended for flaunting COVID-19 rules, leading to plenty of negative press for his club.

Vladimir Darida will miss out because of suspension, meanwhile, but plenty of others have returned to fitness over the two-month hiatus.

Dedryck Boyata is one of those and is likely to get the nod in the heart of defence alongside Niklas Stark.

Hoffenheim possible starting lineup:
Baumann; Zuber, Hubner, Akpoguma, Kaderabek; Grillitsch, Geiger, Rudy; Baumgartner, Bebou, Skov

Hertha Berlin possible starting lineup:
Jarstein; Klunter, Stark, Boyata, Platthardt; Skjelbred; Dilrosun, Grujic, Mittelstadt; Piatek, Cunha


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Hoffenheim 1-0 Hertha Berlin

It remains to be seen just what shape both sets of players will be in following the prolonged break. Hoffenheim were ripped apart in their most recent home outing, but this match presents a good opportunity to kickstart their campaign and push on for a European spot.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.


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Bayern Munich manager Niko Kovac pictured on September 14, 2019
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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