Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Jan 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
Augsburg

Bellarabi (9'), Diaby (24', 65', 69'), Alario (81')
Bellarabi (6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Maier (62')
Pedersen (43'), Uduokhai (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Augsburg

Leverkusen will be expected to win comfortably on Saturday, with their visitors enduring poor form on the road this season and a dreadful record against their opponents overall. Schick will be hoping to continue his fine form in front of goal, and we expect him to be amongst the scorers in a dominant Leverkusen display. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Augsburg
62.27%	19.9%	17.83%

Both teams to score 58.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.87%

37.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.67%

59.33%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.55%

11.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.74%

36.25%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.84%

34.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.15%

70.85%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 62.27%

Augsburg 17.83%

Draw 19.9%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.13% 3-0 @ 6.64% 4-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-0 @ 3.6% 4-2 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.38% Total : 62.27%	1-1 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.9%	1-2 @ 4.89% 0-1 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.83% Total : 17.83%