St Pauli
2 - 1
Dortmund

Amenyido (4'), Witsel (40' og.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Braut Haaland (58' pen.)

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between St Pauli and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: St Pauli 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund are unlikely to ease off in their pursuit of some consistent form ahead of their defence of the DFB-Pokal trophy and Bundesliga title challenge. As a result, we are expecting a strong lineup that will comfortably see off St Pauli on Tuesday, with the hosts focusing on their promotion push anyway. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
31.48%	23.88%	44.63%

Both teams to score 60.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.31%

41.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.91%

64.09%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42%

25.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55%

60.45%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08%

18.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.57%

50.42%

Score Analysis

St Pauli 31.48%

Borussia Dortmund 44.63%

Draw 23.87%

St Pauli	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.48%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.37% Total : 44.63%