Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
