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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
Leipzig logo

B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Hincapie (48'), Andrich (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Szoboszlai (69')
Gvardiol (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

RB Leipzig

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-3 RB Leipzig

 This looks set to be an intriguing tie at the BayArena on Sunday, and it is one that could see two quality sides cancel each other out, or see a flurry of goals between two prolific attacking teams. We are predicting the latter, with the visitors coming out on top after producing far more consistent displays over recent weeks and possessing the greater momentum thanks to some exceptional performances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 41%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.15%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
37.01%22%41%
Both teams to score 69.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.28%30.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.94%52.06%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42%17.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.85%48.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07%15.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.8%45.21%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 37.01%
    RB Leipzig 41%
    Draw 22%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.78%
1-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 4.51%
2-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.8%
4-3 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 37.01%
1-1 @ 8.95%
2-2 @ 7.14%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 2.53%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-1 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 4.73%
2-3 @ 4.37%
0-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.31%
2-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.33%
3-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 41%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

Bayer Leverkusen
23.2%
Draw
18.2%
RB Leipzig
58.6%
99
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Silva (62')
Forsberg (38')
Wirtz (21'), Diaby (34'), Frimpong (64')
Andrich (14'), Hradecky (82'), Frimpong (90+3')
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (51')
Kluivert (90'), Haidara (90+2')

Bellarabi (60'), Bailey (75')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-1
RB Leipzig
Demirbay (20')
Demirbay (19')
Forsberg (14')
Klostermann (45'), Haidara (65'), Adams (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Schick (32')
Bailey (29')
Demirbay (24'), Tah (39'), Diaby (90')
Oct 5, 2019 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-1
RB Leipzig
Volland (67')
Sinkgraven (45'), Weiser (74')
Nkunku (78')
Demme (60'), Poulsen (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern44001631312
2Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen430113949
4Freiburg43018449
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin42204228
7RB Leipzig42204228
8Stuttgart421112847
9Heidenheim42028716
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Werder Bremen412148-45
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg410389-13
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach410358-33
15Hoffenheim4103611-53
16St Pauli401316-51
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81
> Bundesliga Full Table


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