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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Hertha Berlin logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Alario (35'), Bellarabi (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Darida (42')
Boateng (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Hertha Berlin

Leverkusen's head-to-head record against Hertha is poor, but the hosts will head into Saturday's fixture as they favourites, given there are 13 places and 22 points separating the two teams at present. Seoane will be without a number of key players, but his team should still have enough quality within their ranks to secure a slender victory at the BayArena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHertha Berlin
74.14%15.14%10.71%
Both teams to score 56.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.65%30.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.39%51.61%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.04%6.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.48%25.51%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6%39.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.91%76.09%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 74.14%
    Hertha Berlin 10.71%
    Draw 15.14%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 8.06%
1-0 @ 7.31%
4-0 @ 5.77%
4-1 @ 5.37%
3-2 @ 3.76%
5-0 @ 3.07%
5-1 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 2.5%
6-0 @ 1.37%
5-2 @ 1.33%
6-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 4%
Total : 74.14%
1-1 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 4.23%
0-0 @ 2.74%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 15.14%
1-2 @ 3.17%
0-1 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-2 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 10.71%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Hertha Berlin

Bayer Leverkusen
93.3%
Draw
2.2%
Hertha Berlin
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 2.30pm
Mar 21, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 29, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 18, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern44001631312
2Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen430113949
4Freiburg43018449
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin42204228
7RB Leipzig42204228
8Stuttgart421112847
9Heidenheim42028716
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Werder Bremen412148-45
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg410389-13
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach410358-33
15Hoffenheim4103611-53
16St Pauli401316-51
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81


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