MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:52:55| >> :60:999:999:
Atalanta logo
Europa League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Leverkusen logo

Atalanta
3 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Malinovskyi (23'), Muriel (25', 49')
Toloi (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Aranguiz (11'), Diaby (63')
Bakker (73'), Wirtz (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen

The combination of declining form and a modest home record means that Atalanta are not the same well-oiled machine that impressed Europe with their attractive style and odds-defying achievements. Therefore, a more fluent and confident Leverkusen will head into the second leg on level terms, with their incisive forward line capable of frightening even the tightest of defences. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBayer Leverkusen
33.8%26.31%39.88%
Both teams to score 52.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2%51.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44%73.56%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94%29.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03%64.97%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48%25.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63%60.37%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 33.8%
    Bayer Leverkusen 39.88%
    Draw 26.31%
Atalanta BCDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-1 @ 7.73%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.8%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.41%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 6.92%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.88%

How you voted: Atalanta vs B. Leverkusen

Atalanta BC
50.2%
Draw
20.7%
Bayer Leverkusen
29.1%
237
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!