MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:27:57| >> :120:11148:11148:
Leverkusen logo
Europa League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
BayArena
Atalanta logo

B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
Atalanta


Fosu-Mensah (56'), Diaby (90'), Andrich (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boga (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Atalanta BC (Atalanta win 4-3 on aggregate)

Despite a goal-laden and expansive first leg, neither side managed to score at all upon their return to domestic duty at the weekend, and Leverkusen may find Wirtz's absence as disruptive as Zapata's has been for Atalanta. The Bergamaschi may be more miss than hit of late, but they are generally a force to be reckoned with away from home, so they can hang on for a draw to squeeze through to the last eight at their hosts' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAtalanta BC
32.2%23.91%43.89%
Both teams to score 60.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46%41.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06%63.94%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.75%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82%19.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15%50.85%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 32.2%
    Atalanta BC 43.89%
    Draw 23.91%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.2%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-1 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 4.99%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 43.89%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Atalanta

Bayer Leverkusen
43.4%
Draw
23.1%
Atalanta BC
33.5%
212
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2022 8pm
Atalanta
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Malinovskyi (23'), Muriel (25', 49')
Toloi (64')
Aranguiz (11'), Diaby (63')
Bakker (73'), Wirtz (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!