Europa League

Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 7, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Atalanta

(RB Leipzig win 3-1 on aggregate)

Zappacosta (58' og.)
Gvardiol (51'), Halstenberg (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Muriel (17')
Luis Palomino (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between RB Leipzig and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 Atalanta BC

While Leipzig have accumulated 26 Bundesliga points since the turn of the year - more than any other team in the division - Atalanta have managed only three wins during their last 13 league matches. The Bergamo club have struggled to score with their previous ease, but with 18 different players having found the net for them in Serie A this season they can still spring a surprise - particularly being more comfortable on away soil than at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Atalanta BC
35.08%	28.03%	36.88%

Both teams to score 47.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.62%

58.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.02%

78.98%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49%

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1%

67.9%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62%

30.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43%

66.56%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 35.08%

Atalanta BC 36.88%

Draw 28.03%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.08%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.88%