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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
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Dortmund
1 - 4
RB Leipzig

Malen (84')
Hazard (45'), Can (80'), Malen (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Laimer (21', 30'), Nkunku (58'), Olmo (86')
Kampl (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

RB Leipzig

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 RB Leipzig

 With the ball hitting the back of the net at least three times in six of the last seven meetings between these two teams, goals are to be expected this weekend. Both Dortmund and Leipzig take good runs of form into this contest, but we feel that the hosts, with a fully fit Haaland in their side, should do enough to edge this intriguing contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.41%) and 0-1 (5.38%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
34.1%21.89%44%
Both teams to score 68.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.12%30.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.76%52.24%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01%18.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46%50.54%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12%14.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77%43.23%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 34.1%
    RB Leipzig 44%
    Draw 21.89%
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.43%
1-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.92%
2-0 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.63%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 34.1%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 7.08%
0-0 @ 2.83%
3-3 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 8.52%
1-3 @ 5.41%
0-1 @ 5.38%
0-2 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 4.49%
0-3 @ 3.26%
1-4 @ 2.58%
2-4 @ 2.14%
0-4 @ 1.55%
3-4 @ 1.19%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 44%

How you voted: Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund
67.4%
Draw
20.2%
RB Leipzig
12.4%
89
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Dortmund
Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')
Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
> Preview
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-3
Dortmund
Sorloth (90')
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
0-2
Dortmund
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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