Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
6 - 1
Wolfsburg

Rothe (24'), Witsel (26'), Akanji (28'), Can (35'), Braut Haaland (38', 54')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Baku (81')
Baku (33'), Gerhardt (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Carl Zeiss vs. Wolfsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	-4	42
12	Wolfsburg	34	-11	42
13	VfL Bochum	34	-14	42

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Wolfsburg

Dortmund have been far from their best for a couple of months now, with their performances being unconvincing and Haaland struggling to get back amongst the goals following his return from injury. However, BVB should have enough in them to see off a Wolfsburg side that remain poor despite a comprehensive result last time out, albeit against a far lower calibre of opposition to whom they will be facing on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 11.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
71.97%	16.22%	11.81%

Both teams to score 56.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.38%

32.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.71%

54.28%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.06%

7.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.96%

28.03%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83%

39.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12%

75.88%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 71.97%

Wolfsburg 11.81%

Draw 16.22%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 5.34% 4-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 3.7% 5-0 @ 2.71% 5-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 2.35% 5-2 @ 1.19% 6-0 @ 1.14% 6-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.38% Total : 71.97%	1-1 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.38% 0-0 @ 3.11% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.22%	1-2 @ 3.46% 0-1 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-2 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.62% Total : 11.81%