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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Hertha Berlin logo

Dortmund
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Braut Haaland (68' pen.), Moukoko (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Belfodil (18' pen.)
Ascacibar (66'), Plattenhardt (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Dortmund may not be firing on all cylinders, and may well be without a number of first-team players on Saturday, but they should still manage to grind out a fairly comfortable victory. Haaland will be determined to finish the campaign by adding his name on the scoresheet, and it is likely that he will do so against a Hertha side that will probably have to rely on results elsewhere to confirm their survival on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
61.54% (0.0040000000000049 0) 19.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 19.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.47% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.53% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)10.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 61.54%
    Hertha Berlin 19.15%
    Draw 19.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.54%
5-1 @ 1.92%
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.17%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 61.54%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-2 @ 2.21%
1-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 19.15%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hertha Berlin

Borussia Dortmund
75.7%
Draw
10.0%
Hertha Berlin
14.3%
70
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Dortmund
Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')
Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Dortmund
Cunha (33', 79' pen.)
Cunha (61')
Braut Haaland (47', 49', 62', 79'), Guerreiro (70')
Guerreiro (10')
Jun 6, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 30, 2019 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Dortmund
Darida (34')
Grujic (5'), Darida (18'), Ibisevic (83')
Sancho (15'), Hazard (17')
Hummels (19')
Hummels (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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