

Hertha Berlin1 - 4Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Stuttgart | 34 | -18 | 33 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | -34 | 33 |
17 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 Union Berlin
Following recent encounters, Union now hold the edge in this local affair - particularly given Hertha's ongoing woes at the back, which are set to be exacerbated by absences this weekend. For that reason, the visitors can come out on top for a third straight Berlin derby; pushing their rivals one step closer to demotion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
32.4% | 24.96% | 42.64% |
Both teams to score 56.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.69% | 46.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.4% | 68.6% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% | 27.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.31% | 62.69% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% | 21.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.11% | 54.89% |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.64% |