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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Union Berlin logo

Hertha Berlin
1 - 4
Union Berlin

Baumgartl (49' og.)
Lotka (13'), Jovetic (20'), Kempf (61'), Tousart (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haraguchi (31'), Promel (53'), Becker (74'), Michel (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Union Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 Union Berlin

 Following recent encounters, Union now hold the edge in this local affair - particularly given Hertha's ongoing woes at the back, which are set to be exacerbated by absences this weekend. For that reason, the visitors can come out on top for a third straight Berlin derby; pushing their rivals one step closer to demotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
32.4%24.96%42.64%
Both teams to score 56.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69%46.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4%68.6%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74%27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31%62.69%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28%21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11%54.89%
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 32.4%
    Union Berlin 42.64%
    Draw 24.96%
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.4%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.64%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Union Berlin

Hertha Berlin
31.6%
Draw
29.8%
Union Berlin
38.6%
57
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Union Berlin
Khedira (54' og.), Serdar (90+5')
Serdar (15')
Voglsammer (11'), Stark (50' og.), Knoche (55')
Oztunali (43')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Hertha Berlin
Awoniyi (8'), Trimmel (30')
Promel (66')

Serdar (38')
Apr 4, 2021 5pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Andrich (10')
Ryerson (17'), Promel (28')
Lukebakio (35' pen.)
Guendouzi (28'), Tousart (45'), Torunarigha (53'), Ascacibar (78')
Dec 4, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-1
Union Berlin
Pekarik (51'), Piatek (74', 77')
Cunha (84')
Awoniyi (20')
Trimmel (36'), Ryerson (52'), Lenz (64')
Andrich (24')
May 22, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
4-0
Union Berlin
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern44001631312
2Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen430113949
4Freiburg43018449
5Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin42204228
7RB Leipzig42204228
8Stuttgart421112847
9Heidenheim42028716
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Werder Bremen412148-45
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg410389-13
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach410358-33
15Hoffenheim4103611-53
16St Pauli401316-51
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81
> Bundesliga Full Table


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