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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.78%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 5.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 4-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
82.78% | 11.26% | 5.95% |
Both teams to score 48.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.74% | 28.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.92% | 49.07% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.01% | 4.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.06% | 19.93% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.25% | 48.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.22% | 83.77% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
3-0 @ 10.93% 2-0 @ 10.93% 4-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 7.86% 2-1 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.29% 4-1 @ 5.89% 5-0 @ 4.92% 5-1 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.82% 6-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 2.12% 6-1 @ 1.77% 5-2 @ 1.27% 7-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.87% Total : 82.78% | 1-1 @ 5.24% 2-2 @ 2.82% 0-0 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.78% Total : 11.26% | 1-2 @ 1.88% 0-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.33% Total : 5.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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