Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.