We said: Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Hertha Berlin
Time is running out for Arminia and they head into Saturday's six-pointer under immense pressure to secure maximum points if they wish to climb out of the bottom two.
Hertha, meanwhile, will be motivated by the prospect of confirming their Bundesliga status, and with the momentum behind them, we can see Magath's men securing all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.