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Greuther Furth
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Greuther Furth
1 - 3
Dortmund

Ngankam (70')
Tillman (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brandt (26', 72'), Passlack (77')
Akanji (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Stuttgarter Kickers vs. Greuther Furth
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Greuther Furth 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Despite Dortmund being expected to stroll to a comfortable win on paper, we do not see this being such an easy victory for the visitors here. The hosts will be full of desire to pick up an impressive result and the visitors displayed little character in their defeat last weekend, whilst the expected absence of Haaland adds to a lengthy injury list, so although Dortmund should come out winners, it is likely to be a tighter game than many expect.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw has a probability of 15.9% and a win for Greuther Furth has a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline is Greuther Furth 0-2 Borussia Dortmund with a probability of 10.02% and the second most likely scoreline is Greuther Furth 1-2 Borussia Dortmund with a probability of 9.29%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-3 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawBorussia Dortmund
11.41%15.92%72.67%
Both teams to score 55.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.71%32.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.1%53.9%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4%39.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.28%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.29%7.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.54%27.46%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 11.41%
    Borussia Dortmund 72.67%
    Draw 15.92%
Greuther FurthDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 3.36%
1-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 1.33%
2-0 @ 1.31%
3-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 11.41%
1-1 @ 7.25%
2-2 @ 4.3%
0-0 @ 3.05%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.92%
0-2 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 9.29%
0-3 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 7.94%
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-4 @ 5.49%
1-4 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 3.68%
0-5 @ 2.82%
1-5 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 2.36%
2-5 @ 1.21%
0-6 @ 1.2%
1-6 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 72.67%

How you voted: Greuther Furth vs Dortmund

Greuther Furth
10.4%
Draw
12.5%
Borussia Dortmund
77.1%
48
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
3-0
Greuther Furth
Braut Haaland (33' pen., 82'), Malen (89')
Hummels (15'), Bellingham (43')

Bauer (32'), Willems (43'), Leitl (45+4')
Aug 20, 2018 7.45pm
Greuther Furth
1-2
Dortmund
Ernst (77')
Ernst (38'), Maloca (108'), Abouchabaka (110')
Reus (120'), Witsel (90')
Akanji (115')
Apr 13, 2013 2.30pm
Greuther Furth
1-6
Dortmund
Prib (71')
Gündogan (15', 33'), Götze (12', 45'), Blaszczykowski (28'), Lewandowski (80')
Santana (75')
Nov 17, 2012 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
Greuther Furth
Lewandowski (3', 15' pen.), Götze (42')
Lewandowski (12'), Perisic (20')
Stieber (5')
Azemi (34'), Schmidtgal (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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