Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 7, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Greuther Furth
1 - 3
Dortmund

Ngankam (70')
Tillman (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brandt (26', 72'), Passlack (77')
Akanji (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greuther Furth

Last Six:

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Stuttgarter Kickers vs. Greuther Furth
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Hertha Berlin	34	-34	33
17	Arminia Bielefeld	34	-26	28
18	Greuther Furth	34	-54	18

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

We said: Greuther Furth 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Despite Dortmund being expected to stroll to a comfortable win on paper, we do not see this being such an easy victory for the visitors here. The hosts will be full of desire to pick up an impressive result and the visitors displayed little character in their defeat last weekend, whilst the expected absence of Haaland adds to a lengthy injury list, so although Dortmund should come out winners, it is likely to be a tighter game than many expect.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw has a probability of 15.9% and a win for Greuther Furth has a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline is Greuther Furth 0-2 Borussia Dortmund with a probability of 10.02% and the second most likely scoreline is Greuther Furth 1-2 Borussia Dortmund with a probability of 9.29%.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-3 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Greuther Furth	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
11.41%	15.92%	72.67%

Both teams to score 55.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.71%

32.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.1%

53.9%

Greuther Furth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4%

39.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72%

76.28%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.29%

7.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.54%

27.46%

Score Analysis

Greuther Furth 11.41%

Borussia Dortmund 72.67%

Draw 15.92%

Greuther Furth	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 3.36% 1-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 1.33% 2-0 @ 1.31% 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.55% Total : 11.41%	1-1 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.3% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.19% Total : 15.92%	0-2 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 7.94% 0-1 @ 7.82% 0-4 @ 5.49% 1-4 @ 5.09% 2-3 @ 3.68% 0-5 @ 2.82% 1-5 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 2.36% 2-5 @ 1.21% 0-6 @ 1.2% 1-6 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.48% Total : 72.67%