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Greuther Furth
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Greuther Furth
1 - 3
Dortmund

Ngankam (70')
Tillman (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brandt (26', 72'), Passlack (77')
Akanji (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Stuttgarter Kickers vs. Greuther Furth
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Greuther Furth 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Despite Dortmund being expected to stroll to a comfortable win on paper, we do not see this being such an easy victory for the visitors here. The hosts will be full of desire to pick up an impressive result and the visitors displayed little character in their defeat last weekend, whilst the expected absence of Haaland adds to a lengthy injury list, so although Dortmund should come out winners, it is likely to be a tighter game than many expect.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw has a probability of 15.9% and a win for Greuther Furth has a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline is Greuther Furth 0-2 Borussia Dortmund with a probability of 10.02% and the second most likely scoreline is Greuther Furth 1-2 Borussia Dortmund with a probability of 9.29%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-3 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawBorussia Dortmund
11.41%15.92%72.67%
Both teams to score 55.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.71%32.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.1%53.9%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4%39.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.28%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.29%7.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.54%27.46%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 11.41%
    Borussia Dortmund 72.67%
    Draw 15.92%
Greuther FurthDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 3.36%
1-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 1.33%
2-0 @ 1.31%
3-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 11.41%
1-1 @ 7.25%
2-2 @ 4.3%
0-0 @ 3.05%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.92%
0-2 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 9.29%
0-3 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 7.94%
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-4 @ 5.49%
1-4 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 3.68%
0-5 @ 2.82%
1-5 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 2.36%
2-5 @ 1.21%
0-6 @ 1.2%
1-6 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 72.67%

How you voted: Greuther Furth vs Dortmund

Greuther Furth
10.4%
Draw
12.5%
Borussia Dortmund
77.1%
48
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
3-0
Greuther Furth
Braut Haaland (33' pen., 82'), Malen (89')
Hummels (15'), Bellingham (43')

Bauer (32'), Willems (43'), Leitl (45+4')
Aug 20, 2018 7.45pm
Greuther Furth
1-2
Dortmund
Ernst (77')
Ernst (38'), Maloca (108'), Abouchabaka (110')
Reus (120'), Witsel (90')
Akanji (115')
Apr 13, 2013 2.30pm
Greuther Furth
1-6
Dortmund
Prib (71')
Gündogan (15', 33'), Götze (12', 45'), Blaszczykowski (28'), Lewandowski (80')
Santana (75')
Nov 17, 2012 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
Greuther Furth
Lewandowski (3', 15' pen.), Götze (42')
Lewandowski (12'), Perisic (20')
Stieber (5')
Azemi (34'), Schmidtgal (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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