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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
61.18% | 19.51% | 19.3% |
Both teams to score 62.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.3% | 32.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.62% | 54.37% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% | 10.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.03% | 33.96% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% | 29.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% | 66.08% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 7.26% 1-0 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 6.02% 3-2 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 4.11% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.37% Total : 61.18% | 1-1 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.12% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-2 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
12 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
13 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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