Europa League

Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 4
Rangers

(Rangers win 6-4 on aggregate)

Bellingham (51'), Guerreiro (82')
Zagadou (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tavernier (38' pen.), Morelos (41'), Lundstram (49'), Zagadou (54' og.)
McGregor (79')

Rangers captain James Tavernier reflects on historic 4-2 win at Borussia Dortmund

James Tavernier expresses his delight after Rangers stun Borussia Dortmund to win 4-2 in the first leg of their Europa League last-32 in Germany.

Feb 17, 21:10

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Rangers

Both teams will be aiming to establish an early advantage in this first leg, but with Borussia Dortmund having the benefit of being at home, they will likely take all three points, especially with their squad depth. However, Rangers have been in fine form lately, especially from an offensive perspective, which is why they will likely at least get themselves an away goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Rangers
44.97%	22.37%	32.67%

Both teams to score 66.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.2%

33.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.36%

55.64%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.33%

15.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.28%

44.72%

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9%

21.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07%

53.93%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 44.97%

Rangers 32.67%

Draw 22.37%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 8.84% 1-0 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-2 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.97%	1-1 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 3.31% 3-3 @ 2.2% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.37%	1-2 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.73% Total : 32.67%