Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22

Feb 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
3 - 0
Rangers

Hatate (5', 42'), Abada (44')
McGregor (22'), Doak (90+4')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ughelumba (52'), Tavernier (74'), Balogun (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Old Firm derby games are always close, and this one should be no different, especially considering how little separates them in the league position, with Celtic having the chance to go top. Because they are in slightly stronger form right now, and the fact that they have the home advantage, this could be a day that the Hoops take the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Rangers
45.61%	24.4%	29.99%

Both teams to score 57.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18%

44.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82%

67.18%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.22%

19.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.17%

51.83%

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91%

28.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24%

63.76%

Score Analysis

Celtic 45.61%

Rangers 29.99%

Draw 24.4%

Celtic	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.61%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.4%	1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.99%