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Europa League
Atalanta logo
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 14, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Leipzig logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
RB Leipzig


Zapata (58'), Freuler (59'), Demiral (60'), Koopmeiners (75'), Hateboer (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nkunku (18', 87' pen.)
Henrichs (49'), Orban (62'), Simakan (90+5'), Klostermann (90+5'), Kampl (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

RB Leipzig

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 RB Leipzig (Leipzig win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Atalanta's worst run over a period of 14 league matches since 2016 has been brought about by a declining goal rate in 2022; scoring at just over one per game, their best attacking displays have been saved for Europe. However, Leipzig's was the Bundesliga's best defence last season, and they are second only to Bayern during the current campaign in that regard. They can edge this contest, then, by holding firm for the most part and striking surgically on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRB Leipzig
34.98%24.73%40.29%
Both teams to score 58.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38%44.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01%66.99%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09%24.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47%59.53%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51%55.49%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 34.98%
    RB Leipzig 40.29%
    Draw 24.73%
Atalanta BCDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.03%
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.98%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 8.72%
0-1 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.27%
1-3 @ 4.38%
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.29%

How you voted: Atalanta vs RB Leipzig

Atalanta BC
38.3%
Draw
16.0%
RB Leipzig
45.8%
413
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2022 5.45pm
RB Leipzig
1-1
Atalanta
Zappacosta (58' og.)
Gvardiol (51'), Halstenberg (85')
Muriel (17')
Luis Palomino (3')
rhs 2.0
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