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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | VfL Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
49.16% ( -0.1) | 26.48% ( 0.02) | 24.35% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.9% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.15% ( -0.03) | 56.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.22% ( -0.02) | 77.78% ( 0.02) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( -0.06) | 23.19% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.91% ( -0.08) | 57.09% ( 0.08) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.06% ( 0.06) | 38.93% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.34% ( 0.05) | 75.66% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
1-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 24.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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