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Hertha Berlin logo
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 1st Leg
May 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Hamburg logo

Hertha Berlin
0 - 1
Hamburger SV


Stark (29'), Tousart (30'), Boyata (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reis (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between Hertha Berlin and Hamburger SV, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Hamburger SV

Last Six:
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Bayreuth vs. Hamburger SV
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 Hamburger SV

 The two sides head into Thursday's contest in contrasting form but the momentum is certainly with Hamburg, who will be confident of breaching Hertha Berlin's leaky backline given their free-scoring form in front of goal. With a number of players missing for Hertha, we can see the visitors securing a slender victory, which would providing them with the advantage for next Monday's second leg on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 60.28%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.64%) and 1-3 (7.2%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawHamburger SV
20.12% (0.012 0.01) 19.6% (0.0010000000000012 0) 60.28% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.38% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.7% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)64.53% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (0.0019999999999953 0)10.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 20.12%
    Hamburger SV 60.28%
    Draw 19.6%
Hertha BerlinDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 5.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-0 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 20.12%
1-1 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.6%
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-4 @ 4.08%
0-4 @ 3.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.85%
0-5 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.15%
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 60.28%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Hamburger SV

Hertha Berlin
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Hamburger SV
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2018 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
1-2
Hertha Berlin
Santos (25')
van Drongelen (41')
Lazaro (56'), Kalou (63')
Lazaro (33'), Kraft (48'), Plattenhardt (68')
Oct 28, 2017 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-1
Hamburger SV
Stark (17'), Rekik (50')
Stark (9'), Pekarik (52')
Arp (73')
Kostic (30')
Mar 5, 2017 4.30pm
Hamburger SV
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Ekdal (77')
Papadopoulos (55')

Stark (41'), Darida (64')
Oct 1, 2016 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-0
Hamburger SV
Ibisevic (29', 69' pen.)
Plattenhardt (16'), Haraguchi (31')

Santos (3'), Holtby (27'), Ekdal (32'), Muller (48'), Cleber (78'), Lasogga (92')
Mar 6, 2016 4.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-0
Hertha Berlin
Muller (59', 75')
Rudnevs (18'), Spahic (55'), Ekdal (60'), Muller (84')

Pekarik (38')
rhs 2.0
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