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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Dortmund logo

Freiburg
1 - 3
Dortmund

Gregoritsch (35')
Kyereh (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bynoe-Gittens (77'), Moukoko (84'), Wolf (88')
Meunier (33'), Bellingham (60'), Schlotterbeck (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

With three new signings scoring on debut in Freiburg's 4-0 away win last weekend, we think that they can spring an upset against Dortmund. Streich's side are one of the more upwardly mobile teams in the Bundesliga, while the visitors have a few teething issues and were not particularly impressive despite beating Leverkusen last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-3 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
16.07% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 18.19% (0.0030000000000001 0) 65.74% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.87% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.91% (0.15400000000001 0.15)32.09% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.33% (0.18 0.18)53.66% (-0.179 -0.18)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.19 0.19)32.99% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.21 0.21)69.58% (-0.209 -0.21)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.85% (0.025000000000006 0.03)9.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.96% (0.055999999999997 0.06)31.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 16.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 65.74%
    Draw 18.19%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.44% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 16.07%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.19%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 4.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 65.74%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Dortmund

Freiburg
34.7%
Draw
15.5%
Borussia Dortmund
49.8%
265
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Meunier (14', 29'), Braut Haaland (45+1', 75'), Dahoud (86')
Brandt (76'), Braut Haaland (88')
Demirovic (61')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Grifo (6'), Sallai (53')
Demirovic (86')
Keitel (59' og.)
Malen (19'), Dahoud (34'), Akanji (61'), Guerreiro (76')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Woo-yeong (49'), Schmid (52')
Haberer (90+4')
Moukoko (76')
Bellingham (78'), Akanji (90+2')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-0
Freiburg
Braut Haaland (31', 66'), Can (47'), Passlack (90+2')
Hummels (55')

Chang-Hoon (57')
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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