MX23RW : Wednesday, March 19 20:17:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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VfL Bochum
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Dortmund logo

Freiburg
1 - 3
Dortmund

Gregoritsch (35')
Kyereh (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bynoe-Gittens (77'), Moukoko (84'), Wolf (88')
Meunier (33'), Bellingham (60'), Schlotterbeck (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

With three new signings scoring on debut in Freiburg's 4-0 away win last weekend, we think that they can spring an upset against Dortmund. Streich's side are one of the more upwardly mobile teams in the Bundesliga, while the visitors have a few teething issues and were not particularly impressive despite beating Leverkusen last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-3 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
16.07% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 18.19% (0.0030000000000001 0) 65.74% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.87% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.91% (0.15400000000001 0.15)32.09% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.33% (0.18 0.18)53.66% (-0.179 -0.18)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.19 0.19)32.99% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.21 0.21)69.58% (-0.209 -0.21)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.85% (0.025000000000006 0.03)9.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.96% (0.055999999999997 0.06)31.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 16.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 65.74%
    Draw 18.19%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.44% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 16.07%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.19%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 4.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 65.74%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Dortmund

Freiburg
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
Freiburg
34.7%
Draw
15.5%
Borussia Dortmund
49.8%
265
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Meunier (14', 29'), Braut Haaland (45+1', 75'), Dahoud (86')
Brandt (76'), Braut Haaland (88')
Demirovic (61')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Grifo (6'), Sallai (53')
Demirovic (86')
Keitel (59' og.)
Malen (19'), Dahoud (34'), Akanji (61'), Guerreiro (76')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Woo-yeong (49'), Schmid (52')
Haberer (90+4')
Moukoko (76')
Bellingham (78'), Akanji (90+2')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-0
Freiburg
Braut Haaland (31', 66'), Can (47'), Passlack (90+2')
Hummels (55')

Chang-Hoon (57')
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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