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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Leverkusen logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
    Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Antalyaspor
    Saturday, July 30 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
      Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal

      We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

       We expect to see a highly entertaining, high-scoring affair between two attacking teams on Saturday. Both meetings saw seven goals scored at either end last season, but we expect the hosts to just edge it having looked more ready for the new season in the DFB-Pokal last weekend. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

      Result
      Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
      45.96% (1.282 1.28) 21.44% (-0.303 -0.3) 32.6% (-0.979 -0.98)
      Both teams to score 70.11% (0.762 0.76)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      70.86% (1.146 1.15)29.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      49.86% (1.389 1.39)50.14% (-1.389 -1.39)
      Borussia Dortmund Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      86.46% (0.87299999999999 0.87)13.54% (-0.872 -0.87)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      59.39% (1.717 1.72)40.61% (-1.717 -1.72)
      Bayer Leverkusen Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      81.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)18.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      49.6% (0.103 0.1)50.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
      Score Analysis
          Borussia Dortmund 45.96%
          Bayer Leverkusen 32.6%
          Draw 21.44%
      Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
      2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      3-1 @ 5.68% (0.176 0.18)
      1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
      2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
      3-2 @ 4.73% (0.155 0.16)
      3-0 @ 3.41% (0.099 0.1)
      4-1 @ 2.84% (0.174 0.17)
      4-2 @ 2.37% (0.149 0.15)
      4-0 @ 1.71% (0.101 0.1)
      4-3 @ 1.31% (0.085 0.09)
      5-1 @ 1.14% (0.103 0.1)
      5-2 @ 0.95% (0.087 0.09)
      Other @ 3.07%
      Total : 45.96%
      		1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.278 -0.28)
      2-2 @ 7.1% (0.012 0.01)
      3-3 @ 2.63% (0.091 0.09)
      0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.173 -0.17)
      Other @ 0.63%
      Total : 21.44%
      		1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.217 -0.22)
      0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.281 -0.28)
      1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
      2-3 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
      0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.227 -0.23)
      0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
      1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
      2-4 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
      3-4 @ 1.09% (0.04 0.04)
      Other @ 3.45%
      Total : 32.6%

      How you voted: Dortmund vs B. Leverkusen

      Borussia Dortmund
      75.5%
      Draw
      12.7%
      Bayer Leverkusen
      11.8%
      102
      Head to Head
      Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
      Dortmund
      2-5
      B. Leverkusen
      Frimpong (16' og.), Tigges (89')
      Dahoud (26')
      Akanji (11' og.), Wirtz (20'), Andrich (28'), Tah (53'), Diaby (87')
      Bellarabi (46')
      Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      3-4
      Dortmund
      Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
      Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
      Braut Haaland (37', 77'), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
      Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')
      May 22, 2021 2.30pm
      Dortmund
      3-1
      B. Leverkusen
      Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
      Bender (89' pen.)
      Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      2-1
      Dortmund
      Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
      Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
      Brandt (67')
      Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
      Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
      B. Leverkusen
      4-3
      Dortmund
      Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
      Bender (35'), Volland (67')
      Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
      Guerreiro (39')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
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      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
      2RB Leipzig106311551021
      3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
      4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
      5Freiburg105231311217
      6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
      7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
      8Werder Bremen104331721-415
      9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
      10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
      11Stuttgart103431919013
      12Wolfsburg103341918112
      13Augsburg103341320-712
      14Heidenheim103161315-210
      15Hoffenheim102351319-69
      16St Pauli10226712-58
      17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
      18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
      > Bundesliga Full Table


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