We said: VfL Bochum 1-2 FC Koln
Baumgart changed half of his outfielders on Thursday, which should help keep his team fresh for the trip to Bochum at the weekend.
As such, we are struggling to see the hosts avoiding defeat yet again, with their main hope being that Butscher gets a positive reaction from the players after the managerial change earlier in the week.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.