Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Zoller (39'), Lambropoulos (90+1')
FT (HT: 0-0)
We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Werder Bremen
As in previous Bremen games this season, we expected Saturday's contest to produce goals, which we think will result in Bremen maintaining their unbeaten away record this term with a victory over a struggling Bochum side.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 48.82% . A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.75%) . The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result VfL Bochum Draw Werder Bremen 27.4% ( 0.19) 23.77% ( 0.22) 48.82% ( -0.41)
Both teams to score 58% ( -0.58)
56.41% ( -0.83) 43.58% ( 0.83)
34.02% ( -0.82) 65.97% ( 0.82)
70.72% ( -0.29) 29.28% ( 0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.76% ( -0.36) 65.24% ( 0.36)
82.01% ( -0.48) 17.98% ( 0.47)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.16% ( -0.82) 48.84% ( 0.82)
VfL Bochum 27.4%
Werder Bremen 48.82%
Draw 23.77%
VfL Bochum Draw Werder Bremen 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 27.4% 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.77% 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.82%
How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Werder Bremen
VfL Bochum
Draw
Werder Bremen
36
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 10:54:18
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