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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
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Dortmund
2 - 2
Bayern

Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Bellingham (14'), Can (40'), Adeyemi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
Sabitzer (2'), de Ligt (11'), Goretzka (57'), Coman (77'), Sane (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Plzen
Tuesday, October 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-3 Bayern Munich

 We expect to see an entertaining Der Klassiker on Saturday, with both teams possessing plenty of attacking firepower. However, Bayern have looked somewhere close to returning to their best in the past week - scoring nine goals in two matches combined - and should have too much quality for their rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
24.18% (0.023 0.02) 19.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 55.89% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.78% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.91% (0.064999999999998 0.06)28.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.15% (0.078000000000003 0.08)48.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.052999999999997 0.05)23.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (0.073 0.07)57.24% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.67% (0.02000000000001 0.02)10.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.22% (0.037999999999997 0.04)33.78% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 24.18%
    Bayern Munich 55.89%
    Draw 19.93%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.8%
1-0 @ 3.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 24.18%
1-1 @ 7.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 2.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.93%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.98% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.69% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 2.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-5 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 55.89%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Bayern

Borussia Dortmund
18.1%
Draw
8.8%
Bayern Munich
73.1%
160
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Bayern
3-1
Dortmund
Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
Lewandowski (9', 77'), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')
Aug 17, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
1-3
Bayern
Reus (64')
Reus (25'), Dahoud (32')
Lewandowski (41', 74'), Muller (50')
Sule (23'), Sane (83'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+3')
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Lewandowski (26', 44' pen., 90'), Goretzka (88')
Lewandowski (28')
Braut Haaland (2', 9')
Meunier (29')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Reus (45'), Braut Haaland (83')
Delaney (45+3'), Witsel (90+1')
Alaba (45+4'), Lewandowski (48'), Sane (80')
Kimmich (36'), Lewandowski (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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