Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 2
Bayern

Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Bellingham (14'), Can (40'), Adeyemi (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
Sabitzer (2'), de Ligt (11'), Goretzka (57'), Coman (77'), Sane (90+2')

Borussia Dortmund fight back to earn point against Bayern Munich in pulsating clash

Anthony Modeste scores a last-gasp leveller as Borussia Dortmund fight back to draw 2-2 with Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga.

Oct 8, 19:28

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Plzen
Tuesday, October 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-3 Bayern Munich

We expect to see an entertaining Der Klassiker on Saturday, with both teams possessing plenty of attacking firepower. However, Bayern have looked somewhere close to returning to their best in the past week - scoring nine goals in two matches combined - and should have too much quality for their rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
24.18% ( 0.02)	19.93% ( -0.01)	55.89% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68.78% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.91% (

0.06)

28.09% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.15% (

0.08)

48.85% (

-0.07)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.7% (

0.05)

23.3% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.76% (

0.07)

57.24% (

-0.07)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.67% (

0.02)

10.33% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.22% (

0.04)

33.78% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 24.18%

Bayern Munich 55.89%

Draw 19.93%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.8% 1-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 24.18%	1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.93%	1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.88% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.76% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.89%