Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 0
Bayern

Berisha (59')
Berisha (31'), Hahn (45+1'), Gouweleeuw (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mane (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Augsburg
Friday, September 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Schalke 04	6	-5	6
14	Augsburg	6	-6	6
15	Stuttgart	6	-1	5

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Freiburg	6	5	13
3	Bayern Munich	6	14	12
4	Hoffenheim	6	5	12

We said: Augsburg 0-3 Bayern Munich

It would be almost unthinkable for Bayern to drop points in four successive league games, especially considering that they have not really faced any truly difficult opponents during that run. Augsburg can play with reduced strain having gained a crucial win last time out, but we do not expect them to be able to hold off an angry Bayern outfit determined to head into the international break off the back of a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 85.18%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 5.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 0-4 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.37%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
5.13% ( 0.77)	9.69% ( 1.02)	85.18% ( -1.79)

Both teams to score 50.82% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.66% (

-1.64)

23.33% (

1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.29% (

-2.24)

42.71% (

2.24)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.81% (

1.35)

47.19% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.37% (

82.63% (

-0.99)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.24% (

-0.51)

3.76% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.92% (

-1.7)

16.08% (

1.71)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 5.13%

Bayern Munich 85.17%

Draw 9.69%

Augsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.16% Total : 5.13%	1-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.86% Total : 9.69%	0-3 @ 10.44% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.29) 0-4 @ 8.57% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 7.84% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.48) 1-4 @ 6.43% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.41) 0-5 @ 5.62% ( -0.59) 1-5 @ 4.22% ( -0.27) 0-6 @ 3.08% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 2.31% ( -0.26) 2-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 0-7 @ 1.44% ( -0.3) 1-7 @ 1.08% ( -0.17) Other @ 4.66% Total : 85.17%