Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
0 - 2
Hertha Berlin

Gruezo (31'), Berisha (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lukebakio (57'), Richter (90+3')
Uremovic (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-0 Augsburg
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Bayer Leverkusen	5	-3	3
14	Augsburg	4	-5	3
15	Schalke 04	5	-7	3

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 Dortmund
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Wolfsburg	5	-6	2
17	Hertha Berlin	4	-4	1
18	VfL Bochum	5	-12	0

We said: Augsburg 0-1 Hertha Berlin

With both sides struggling to find the net so far this season, it is hard to envisage too many goals between two teams short on confidence. However, Hertha have looked a more balanced outfit during the early weeks of Schwarz's tenure, and we can see them edging a narrow victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
33.92% ( 0.21)	26.58% ( 0.09)	39.49% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 52% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.11% (

-0.33)

52.88% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.5% (

-0.28)

74.49% (

0.28)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

-0.03)

29.51% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47% (

-0.03)

65.53% (

0.04)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.77% (

-0.31)

26.22% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.67% (

-0.42)

61.33% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 33.92%

Hertha Berlin 39.49%

Draw 26.58%

Augsburg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.49%