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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Augsburg logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Augsburg

Geiger (39')
Promel (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bauer (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Augsburg

Hoffenheim have been the entertainers early on in the 2022-23 Bundesliga campaign, with their games typically being full of goals that showcases their attacking prowess. The visitors have had mixed success in their opening three matches, and this weekend could be another tough challenge for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
60.56% (-0.235 -0.23) 20.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.53% (0.237 0.24)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.462 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (0.395 0.4)40.65% (-0.395 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (0.403 0.4)63.03% (-0.405 -0.41)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (0.055999999999997 0.06)13% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (0.113 0.11)39.53% (-0.114 -0.11)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (0.488 0.49)35.5% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (0.504 0.5)72.26% (-0.505 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 60.56%
    Augsburg 18.53%
    Draw 20.9%
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.53% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.45% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 60.56%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.066 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Augsburg

Hoffenheim
79.6%
Draw
10.2%
Augsburg
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-4
Hoffenheim

Gouweleeuw (89')
Bruun Larsen (37'), Adamyan (79'), Rutter (87'), Rudy (90+5')
Raum (19'), Rudy (62')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Vargas (8'), Hahn (23')
Hahn (90+1')
Skov (86')
Samassekou (37')
Dec 7, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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