MX23RW : Friday, June 21 20:34:23| >> :120:25849:25849:
Sevilla logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Dortmund logo

Sevilla
1 - 4
Dortmund

En-Nesyri (51')
Gudelj (3'), En-Nesyri (22'), Lamela (68'), Salas (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Guerreiro (6'), Bellingham (41'), Adeyemi (43'), Brandt (75')
Ozcan (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Atletico
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

Given the amount of players that Dortmund are likely to have unavailable for this fixture - and the importance of Der Klassiker at the weekend - we can envisage the visitors being extremely content to leave Seville with a point on Wednesday. Sevilla have started the season in terrible form and may not be massively disappointed with avoiding defeat either, so we can envisage a share of the spoils in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawBorussia Dortmund
43.09% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17) 23.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 33.45% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 62.72% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (0.060000000000002 0.06)38.91% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (0.063000000000002 0.06)61.23% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)18.44% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)49.62% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.123 0.12)23.09% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (0.177 0.18)56.93% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 43.09%
    Borussia Dortmund 33.45%
    Draw 23.45%
SevillaDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 33.45%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Dortmund

Sevilla
29.1%
Draw
23.9%
Borussia Dortmund
46.9%
309
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2021 8pm
Dortmund
2-2
Sevilla
Braut Haaland (35', 54' pen.)
Morey (20'), Braut Haaland (55'), Can (67')
En-Nesyri (69' pen., 90+6')
Acuna (40'), Kounde (51'), Jordan (55'), Oscar (71'), Fernando (76'), Carlos (77')
Feb 17, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-3
Dortmund
Suso (7'), De Jong (84')
Oscar (88'), Lopetegui (90+5')
Dahoud (19'), Braut Haaland (27', 43')
Hummels (73'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
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5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Monday, July 1
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 France France11003
2 Austria Austria21013
3 Netherlands Netherlands11003
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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