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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Sevilla logo

Real Madrid
3 - 1
Sevilla

Modric (5'), Vazquez (79'), Valverde (81')
Tchouameni (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lamela (54')
Jordan (28'), Montiel (32'), Gudelj (66'), Papu (90+5')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Sevilla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia
Tuesday, October 18 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla

Sevilla have shown a lot of improvement under Sampaoli, but it is really difficult to back against Real Madrid at the moment, especially at Bernabeu. Los Blancos might have to be patient on Saturday, but we are expecting the champions to put another three points on the board in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 11.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
69.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 18.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.007000000000005 0.01)11.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (0.016999999999996 0.02)36.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.62% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)48.38% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)83.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 69.98%
    Sevilla 11.38%
    Draw 18.64%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
2-0 @ 13.03%
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 9.29% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.97% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.45%
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.64%
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 11.38%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid
90.0%
Draw
4.8%
Sevilla
5.2%
231
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Sevilla
2-3
Real Madrid
Rakitic (21'), Lamela (25')
Martial (39'), Carlos (80'), Torres (83')
Rodrygo (50'), Nacho (82'), Benzema (90+2')
Camavinga (31'), Nacho (78'), Kroos (90+6'), Mariano (90+9')
Nov 28, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Sevilla
Benzema (32'), Junior (87')
Kroos (61'), Carvajal (69'), Casemiro (90+1')
Mir (12')
Acuna (34'), Montiel (55'), Ocampos (84')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-2
Sevilla
Asensio (67'), Hazard (90+4')
Casemiro (21')
Fernando (22'), Rakitic (78' pen.)
Suso (56'), Gudelj (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3.15pm
Sevilla
0-1
Real Madrid

Gudelj (76')
Bono (55' og.)
Kroos (44'), Modric (60'), Junior (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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