Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
35.73% ( 0.09) | 26.6% ( -0.02) | 37.67% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.19% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.25% ( 0.08) | 52.75% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.62% ( 0.07) | 74.38% ( -0.07) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.67% ( 0.09) | 28.33% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.94% ( 0.12) | 64.06% ( -0.11) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% ( -0) | 27.18% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.41% ( -0) | 62.59% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |