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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 4-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
83.42% ( 0.1) | 11.1% ( -0.02) | 5.47% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 45.86% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.11% ( -0.34) | 29.89% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.94% ( -0.41) | 51.06% ( 0.41) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.82% ( -0.05) | 5.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.49% ( -0.14) | 20.51% ( 0.13) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.37% ( -0.56) | 51.63% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.24% ( -0.38) | 85.76% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 83.41% | 1-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.1% | 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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