KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals

Mar 2, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
3 - 1
ADO Den Haag

Bakayoko (12'), Til (21'), Sangare (54')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sellouki (56')
Asante (15')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between PSV Eindhoven and ADO Den Haag, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: PSV 3-1 FC Twente
Sunday, February 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

ADO Den Haag

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Den Bosch 0-0 ADO Den Haag
Sunday, February 26 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag

With Den Haag failing to register a victory over PSV Eindhoven since February 2011, which incidentally came at the Philips Stadion, we predict that the defending KNVB Beker champions will continue their recent unrivalled head-to-head record on Thursday evening and subsequently confirm their place in the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 11.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	ADO Den Haag
71.25% ( -5.11)	16.77% ( 2.69)	11.98% ( 2.42)

Both teams to score 54.37% (

-1.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.07% (

-6.44)

34.93% (

6.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.09% (

-7.56)

56.91% (

7.56)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.34% (

-2.52)

8.66% (

2.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.15% (

-6.57)

29.85% (

6.57)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.53% (

-0.34)

40.48% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.92% (

-0.31)

77.08% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 71.24%

ADO Den Haag 11.98%

Draw 16.77%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 1.7) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.41) 4-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.99) 4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.95) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.22) 5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.91) 5-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.86) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.45) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.4) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.57) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.53) Other @ 2.9% Total : 71.24%	1-1 @ 7.76% ( 1.48) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 1.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.77%	1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.64) 0-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.92) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.19) Other @ 1.52% Total : 11.98%