Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 19, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Excelsior
4 - 1
Cambuur

Goudmijn (6'), Bergsma (10' og.), Horemans (20'), Lamprou (33')
Markelo (67')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Bangura (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Emmen 2-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Cambuur

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 5-2 Cambuur
Sunday, March 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Cambuur

There is little separating the teams ahead of Sunday's encounter which could easily swing either way and we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Cambuur
47.89% ( 0.02)	24.91% ( -0)	27.2% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.06% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

-0)

48.7% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

-0)

70.81% (

0.01)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

0.01)

20.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.21% (

0.01)

52.79% (

-0.01)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.89% (

-0.01)

32.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.42% (

-0.01)

68.58% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 47.88%

Cambuur 27.2%

Draw 24.91%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Cambuur
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.88%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.2%