Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Euroborg

Groningen
3 - 0
Excelsior

Hove (13'), Pepi (50'), van Gelderen (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 1-1 Emmen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Groningen 2-1 SBV Excelsior

With two out-of-sorts teams going head-to-head, we are anticipating a nervy and tense affair here. That said, we are backing Groningen to make home advantage count and narrowly get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
58.98% ( 0.04)	22.87% ( -0.02)	18.15% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.26% (

0.08)

49.74% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.25% (

0.07)

71.75% (

-0.07)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46% (

0.04)

16.53% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.71% (

0.07)

46.29% (

-0.07)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.72% (

0.03)

41.28% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.19% (

0.03)

77.8% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Groningen 58.97%

SBV Excelsior 18.15%

Draw 22.86%

Groningen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 58.97%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.15%