Eredivisie | Gameweek 22

Feb 19, 2023 at 7pm UK

Excelsior
0 - 3
Nijmegen

El Yaakoubi (35'), Driouech (87'), Nieuwpoort (87')
El Yaakoubi (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mattsson (44'), Elkarouani (73'), Musaba (85')
Sandler (29'), Verdonk (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 5-0 Excelsior
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 0-0 Cambuur
Saturday, February 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-1 NEC

Both teams are low on confidence and struggling for form currently, but the visitors have at least managed to show their quality in patches this season, and given that they are hard to beat and that the hosts are particularly leaky at the back, we see NEC having enough to find a decisive goal and come out on top on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	NEC
45.24% ( -0.03)	24.53% ( 0)	30.23% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.75% (

0.01)

45.25% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4% (

0.01)

67.59% (

-0.01)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.89% (

-0.01)

20.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.64% (

-0.02)

52.36% (

0.02)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

0.02)

28.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

0.03)

63.83% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 45.24%

NEC 30.23%

Draw 24.52%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.23%