Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 5, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Stokkers (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Proper (49'), Verdonk (64'), Bronkhorst (77'), Elkarouani (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 NEC

Go Ahead Eagles are coming into a crucial stage of their season and need to start picking up maximum points to avoid being dragged into a relegation battle this campaign. It is difficult to not back NEC to earn at least a point during their trip to Deventer on Sunday afternoon, a result which would be their 12th stalemate of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for NEC had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	NEC
47.11% ( -0.07)	24.27% ( -0.06)	28.63% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 57.26% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

0.33)

44.98% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.66% (

0.32)

67.33% (

-0.32)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

0.1)

19.21% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.09% (

0.17)

50.91% (

-0.17)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

0.26)

29.12% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

0.32)

65.04% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 47.11%

NEC 28.63%

Draw 24.26%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.11%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.63%