Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
PSV3 - 0Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Volendam 2-3 PSV
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Emmen
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Ajax
Considering at least three goals have been scored in each of the last six meetings between the two teams, an entertaining contest is set to take place on Sunday, with both sides seeking to end the weekend in second place. PSV will be regarded as slight favourites being on home soil and having won the last three encounters with Ajax, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to pick up a point at the Philips Stadion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
44.14% ( -0.28) | 21.44% ( 0.04) | 34.41% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 70.86% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.54% ( -0.14) | 28.45% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.69% ( -0.17) | 49.3% ( 0.16) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% ( -0.15) | 13.88% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.29) | 41.29% ( 0.29) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( 0.04) | 17.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.62% ( 0.08) | 48.38% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven 44.14%
Ajax 34.41%
Draw 21.44%
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.41% |
How you voted: PSV vs Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
58.7%Draw
23.9%Ajax
17.4%46
