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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
44.14% ( -0.28) | 21.44% ( 0.04) | 34.41% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 70.86% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.54% ( -0.14) | 28.45% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.69% ( -0.17) | 49.3% ( 0.16) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.11% ( -0.15) | 13.88% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.7% ( -0.29) | 41.29% ( 0.29) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.28% ( 0.04) | 17.72% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.62% ( 0.08) | 48.38% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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