Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 9, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
4 - 0
Sittard

Berghuis (6', 27'), Bergwijn (54'), Taylor (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guth (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Ajax
Wednesday, April 5 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, April 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ajax 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard's 2022-23 campaign has been very solid, but they have a terrible record against Ajax, having never won a competitive game at the Johan Cruijff ArenA. Given the disparity between the two sides in the league table, that record is unlikely to change on Sunday, and it should be a comfortable victory for Heitinga's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.77%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
78.77% ( -0.01)	12.58% ( 0)	8.64% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.94% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.36% (

0.01)

23.63% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.88% (

0.01)

43.11% (

-0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.24% (

-0)

4.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.77%

19.22% (

-0)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88% (

0.02)

38.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12% (

0.02)

74.87% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ajax 78.77%

Fortuna Sittard 8.64%

Draw 12.58%

Ajax	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
3-0 @ 8.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.5% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.96% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.82% 4-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) 6-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 4.72% Total : 78.77%	1-1 @ 5.32% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.81% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 12.58%	1-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 8.64%