MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:57:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Fortuna Sittard

Ajax
4 - 0
Sittard

Berghuis (6', 27'), Bergwijn (54'), Taylor (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Guth (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Ajax
Wednesday, April 5 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Groningen
Sunday, April 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

 Fortuna Sittard's 2022-23 campaign has been very solid, but they have a terrible record against Ajax, having never won a competitive game at the Johan Cruijff ArenA. Given the disparity between the two sides in the league table, that record is unlikely to change on Sunday, and it should be a comfortable victory for Heitinga's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.77%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
78.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 12.58% (0.00099999999999945 0) 8.64% (0.004900000000001 0)
Both teams to score 58.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.36% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.88% (0.012 0.01)43.11% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)4.75% (-0.0011000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.77%19.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88% (0.018999999999998 0.02)38.11% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.12% (0.018999999999998 0.02)74.87% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 78.77%
    Fortuna Sittard 8.64%
    Draw 12.58%
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
3-0 @ 8.54% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.23%
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 6.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 3.82%
4-2 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
6-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
6-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 78.77%
1-1 @ 5.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 12.58%
1-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 8.64%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sittard

Ajax
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Fortuna Sittard
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3.30pm
Sittard
2-3
Ajax
Gladon (6'), Yilmaz (87')
Seuntjens (27'), Ferati (82'), Gladon (88')
Taylor (48'), Rensch (51'), Brobbey (62')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Ajax
5-0
Sittard
Blind (14'), Antony (22'), Rensch (82'), Haller (90' pen., 90+2')

van Osch (90+2')
Sep 21, 2021 5.45pm
Sittard
0-5
Ajax

Janssen (49')
Berghuis (11'), Mazraoui (27'), Tadic (38'), Kudus (72'), Tagliafico (77')
Jan 24, 2021 11.15am
Sittard
1-2
Ajax
Tirpan (48')
Polter (90+3')
Polter (19' og.), Haller (64')
Tagliafico (45+2'), Neres (90+6')
Oct 31, 2020 7pm
Ajax
5-2
Sittard
Klaassen (32', 45'), Brobbey (74'), Tadic (86' pen.), Promes (90+5' pen.)
Cox (7', 90+6')
Angha (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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