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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Fortuna Sittard

RKC Waalwijk
3 - 1
Sittard

Kramer (76'), Lobete (86'), Jozefzoon (90')
Nieuwpoort (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yilmaz (49')
Velazquez (52'), Embalo (59'), Cordoba (71'), Yilmaz (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, February 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-1 Sittard
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 Fortuna Sittard

Both teams have been defensively solid of late, so we are expecting a low-scoring affair in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to just about get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawFortuna Sittard
51.92% (2.552 2.55) 23.51% (-0.676 -0.68) 24.58% (-1.871 -1.87)
Both teams to score 56.19% (0.387 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (1.378 1.38)44.74% (-1.372 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (1.313 1.31)67.1% (-1.308 -1.31)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (1.5 1.5)17.25% (-1.495 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (2.569 2.57)47.56% (-2.564 -2.56)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.773 -0.77)32.1% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.887 -0.89)68.58% (0.892 0.89)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 51.92%
    Fortuna Sittard 24.58%
    Draw 23.5%
RKC WaalwijkDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.163 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.322 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.36 0.36)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.417 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.14 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.269 0.27)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.278 0.28)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 51.92%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.335 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.524 -0.52)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.341 -0.34)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.381 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Sittard

RKC Waalwijk
77.8%
Draw
20.0%
Fortuna Sittard
2.2%
45
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 5.45pm
Jan 23, 2022 7pm
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Sittard
Gaari (2'), Kramer (19')
Adewoye (52'), Kramer (64')
Seuntjens (65' pen.)
Janssen (23'), Tirpan (45+1'), Pinto (90'), Rienstra (90+1')
Aug 27, 2021 7pm
Sittard
2-2
RKC Waalwijk
Baghdadi (23'), Seuntjens (68')
Angha (71')
Kramer (38', 55')
Odgaard (12')
Jan 27, 2021 7pm
Dec 22, 2020 3.30pm
Sittard
2-1
RKC Waalwijk
Polter (45'), Semedo (90+2')
Seuntjens (9'), Janssen (56'), Semedo (90+2')
Stokkers (15')
Lamprou (45+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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