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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RKC Waalwijk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RKC Waalwijk.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Emmen |
44.67% ( 0.07) | 24.29% ( 0) | 31.04% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 58.68% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% ( -0.04) | 43.78% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% ( -0.04) | 66.17% ( 0.05) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( 0.01) | 19.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.21% ( 0.02) | 51.79% ( -0.01) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.12% ( -0.06) | 26.88% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.8% ( -0.08) | 62.2% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Emmen |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |