Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 12, 2023 at 7pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
4 - 0
Nijmegen

Cerny (38'), Misidjan (60'), van Wolfswinkel (77', 84')
Propper (32'), Ugalde (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tannane (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Emmen 0-3 FC Twente
Sunday, May 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Twente have been strong at home and Nijmegen are tough to beat on the road, so there is little to separate the sides despite the gap in league position. The hosts have scored 15 in their last five games here, while NEC have conceded only two in their last five away games, so a close battle is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	NEC
67.48% ( 0.02)	18.8% ( -0.01)	13.72% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.68% (

0.01)

40.32% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.31% (

0.01)

62.69% (

-0)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89% (

0.01)

11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.72% (

0.02)

35.28% (

-0.01)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67% (

-0.01)

41.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15% (

-0.01)

77.85% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 67.47%

NEC 13.72%

Draw 18.8%

FC Twente	Draw	NEC
2-0 @ 11.07% 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 67.47%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.8%	0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 13.72%