Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 6, 2023 at 7pm UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
2 - 3
Heerenveen

Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Haye (27'), van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')
van Ottele (12'), van Ewijk (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Nijmegen
Tuesday, April 25 at 2pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Emmen
Saturday, April 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen have been let down by their home form this season, but the Super Frisians' results on their travels is the seven-best in the Eredivisie. NEC have conceded a goal in 13 of their 15 fixtures at Stadion de Goffert, and a run that has seen them claim one win in their last six home games is likely to extend to a sole victory in seven on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	Heerenveen
42.37% ( 0.11)	24.52% ( -0.03)	33.11% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 58.73% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.92% (

0.1)

44.08% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.53% (

0.1)

66.47% (

-0.1)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.1% (

0.1)

20.9% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.38% (

0.15)

53.62% (

-0.15)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25%

25.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

-0)

60.68% (

Score Analysis

NEC 42.37%

Heerenveen 33.11%

Draw 24.52%

NEC	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.37%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.11%