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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Goffertstadion
FC Utrecht

Nijmegen
2 - 2
Utrecht

Dimata (31', 48')
van Rooij (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dost (63'), Boussaid (67')
Labyad (53'), van der Hoorn (59'), van der Maarel (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, March 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 Sittard
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-1 FC Utrecht

 Utrecht arguably boast the better of the two squads, but NEC's home record suggests this weekend's contest will be far from a straightforward affair. We are backing the teams to go toe to toe over the course of the 90 minutes and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NECDrawFC Utrecht
46.93% (0.681 0.68) 23.6% (0.338 0.34) 29.47% (-1.018 -1.02)
Both teams to score 60.17% (-1.867 -1.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (-2.182 -2.18)41.41% (2.183 2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (-2.248 -2.25)63.81% (2.248 2.25)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (-0.58399999999999 -0.58)17.88% (0.585 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-1.014 -1.01)48.66% (1.014 1.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-1.739 -1.74)26.73% (1.739 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (-2.353 -2.35)61.99% (2.354 2.35)
Score Analysis
    NEC 46.93%
    FC Utrecht 29.47%
    Draw 23.59%
NECDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.116 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.643 0.64)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.428 0.43)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 46.93%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.457 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.312 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.47%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Utrecht

NEC
37.5%
Draw
31.3%
FC Utrecht
31.3%
32
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Utrecht
0-0
Nijmegen

van der Kust (40')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Douvikas (77')

Duelund (14'), Bruijn (50'), Proper (73')
Sep 22, 2021 5.45pm
Nijmegen
0-3
Utrecht
Ramselaar (7', 79'), Douvikas (66')
van der Maarel (66')
Mar 18, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
0-3
Utrecht

von Haacke (72')
Labyad (28'), Ayoub (37'), Haller (63')
Labyad (35')
Oct 30, 2016 1.30pm
Utrecht
1-1
Nijmegen
Delle (35' og.)
Joosten (89'), Zivkovic (92')
Kadioglu (62')
Heinloth (20'), Ofosu (45'), Fomitschow (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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