Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 12, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
2 - 2
Utrecht

Dimata (31', 48')
van Rooij (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dost (63'), Boussaid (67')
Labyad (53'), van der Hoorn (59'), van der Maarel (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, March 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 Sittard
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Utrecht arguably boast the better of the two squads, but NEC's home record suggests this weekend's contest will be far from a straightforward affair. We are backing the teams to go toe to toe over the course of the 90 minutes and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	FC Utrecht
46.93% ( 0.68)	23.6% ( 0.34)	29.47% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 60.17% (

-1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.59% (

-2.18)

41.41% (

2.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.19% (

-2.25)

63.81% (

2.25)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11% (

-0.58)

17.88% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.33% (

-1.01)

48.66% (

1.01)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

-1.74)

26.73% (

1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

-2.35)

61.99% (

2.35)

Score Analysis

NEC 46.93%

FC Utrecht 29.47%

Draw 23.59%

NEC	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.93%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.59%	1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.47%