Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 25, 2023 at 2pm UK

Euroborg

Groningen
0 - 1
Nijmegen

Suslov (52')
Duarte (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruijn (84' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 Groningen
Saturday, April 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-4 Vitesse
Sunday, April 16 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both sides are on a bad run of results heading into this weekend's game, which has all the makings of a nervy affair. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair and a share of the spoils come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Groningen	Draw	NEC
38.59% ( 0.38)	25.78% ( 0.08)	35.63% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 54.93% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.74% (

-0.4)

49.25% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.68% (

-0.36)

71.31% (

0.36)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

0.02)

25.05% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27% (

0.03)

59.72% (

-0.04)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28% (

-0.46)

26.71% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02% (

-0.61)

61.97% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Groningen 38.59%

NEC 35.63%

Draw 25.77%

Groningen	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.59%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.63%