Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 11, 2023 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
1 - 0
Groningen

Karlsson (4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van Gelderen (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Lazio 1-2 AZ
Tuesday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, March 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Groningen

Buoyed by their European triumph in midweek, AZ will head into this weekend's contest with a spring in their step. We fancy the home side to stroll to a routine victory here, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.2%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Groningen
82.41% ( -0.02)	11.33% ( 0.01)	6.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.59% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.93% (

-0.01)

27.08% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.42% (

-0.01)

47.58% (

0.01)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.17% (

-0)

4.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.54% (

-0.01)

19.47% (

0.01)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.16% (

0.02)

46.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.63% (

0.01)

82.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 82.4%

Groningen 6.26%

Draw 11.33%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Groningen
3-0 @ 10.49% 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.82% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.85% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.39% 7-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 4.37% Total : 82.4%	1-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 11.33%	1-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 6.26%