MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 06:06:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Groningen

AZ
1 - 0
Groningen

Karlsson (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

van Gelderen (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 AZ
Tuesday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Groningen

All competitions
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, March 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Groningen

 Buoyed by their European triumph in midweek, AZ will head into this weekend's contest with a spring in their step. We fancy the home side to stroll to a routine victory here, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.2%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
82.41% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 11.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 6.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.42% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)47.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)4.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.54% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)19.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)46.84% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.63% (0.012 0.01)82.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 82.4%
    Groningen 6.26%
    Draw 11.33%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
3-0 @ 10.49%
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.39%
7-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 82.4%
1-1 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 11.33%
1-2 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
0-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 6.26%

How you voted: AZ vs Groningen

AZ Alkmaar
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Groningen
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 5.45pm
Groningen
1-4
AZ
Pepi (42')
Pelupessy (80')
De Wit (3'), Karlsson (19'), Milos (62'), Lahdo (85')
Dec 21, 2021 8pm
AZ
1-0
Groningen
Karlsson (68')

Buijs (12'), de Leeuw (28'), Duarte (78'), Dammers (87')
Kasanwirjo (4')
Oct 24, 2021 7pm
Groningen
2-0
AZ
Ngonge (20'), De Leeuw (71')
Suslov (62')

Hatzidiakos (43'), Gudmundsson (65'), Reijnders (72')
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Groningen
0-0
AZ

Itakura (68'), te Wierik (72'), van Hintum (80')

Svensson (70')
Dec 6, 2020 1.30pm
AZ
1-2
Groningen
Koopmeiners (21')
Midtsjo (8'), Martins Indi (78'), Stengs (90+2'), Koopmeiners (90+3'), Wijndal (90+3')
Midtsjo (57'), Martins Indi (85')
El Messaoudi (69', 74')
Joosten (79')
El Hankouri (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!