Vitesse0 - 1AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
With one eye on Tuesday's continental commitment, AZ could opt to field a relatively weaker starting lineup on Friday. Nonetheless, we are backing the away side to come away with all three points, albeit in hard-fought fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
24.26% ( -1.52) | 23.54% ( -0.11) | 52.2% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( -0.88) | 45.19% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( -0.85) | 67.54% ( 0.85) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% ( -1.71) | 32.61% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.85% ( -1.97) | 69.15% ( 1.97) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( 0.28) | 17.31% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.33% ( 0.49) | 47.67% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.26% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.82% Total : 52.2% |
