Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2023 at 7pm UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
0 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)

Karlsson (29')
Sugawara (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 2-1 Cambuur
Saturday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

With one eye on Tuesday's continental commitment, AZ could opt to field a relatively weaker starting lineup on Friday. Nonetheless, we are backing the away side to come away with all three points, albeit in hard-fought fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
24.26% ( -1.52)	23.54% ( -0.11)	52.2% ( 1.63)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.81% (

-0.88)

45.19% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

-0.85)

67.54% (

0.85)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39% (

-1.71)

32.61% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.85% (

-1.97)

69.15% (

1.97)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69% (

0.28)

17.31% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.33% (

0.49)

47.67% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 24.26%

AZ Alkmaar 52.2%

Draw 23.53%

Vitesse	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.26%	1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.82% Total : 52.2%